That’s
the word not from Chicken Little, but from former Maine Governor Angus
King, who says he doesn’t use the term “catastrophe” lightly.
“This
is a human catastrophe coming at us in the state of Maine in terms of
energy supply and costs,” King said last week at a daylong seminar on
harnessing tidal energy and offshore wind to confront runaway energy
costs, costs he sees as a direct threat to Maine being habitable.
“This
winter, the cost of fuel oil is going to more than double,” he said.
“What’s being quoted now is $4.96 — $5 a gallon. That’s $1,000 to fill
up your tank in the basement one time, and most people are going to
have to fill up their tank six times.
“How is somebody who is
making $350 or $400 a week going to pay to fill up the tank to keep
warm? How are they going to pay to fill up the truck to get to work?
This is, I think, the most serious crisis to ever face the state of
Maine.”

Tapping
the energy of coastal Maine’s offshore winds will require development
of wind turbines not unlike those phased into use last fall six miles
off the coast of Liverpool, England. The Burbo Bank Offshore Wind Farm
uses 25 turbines, each standing 459 feet above the Irish Sea, to
generate enough electricity to power 80,000 homes.—PHOTO COURTESY OF
NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY LABORATORIES
King told an audience
of 120 state, regional and national experts on alternative energy
concepts that the time for talk is over and that solutions need to be
found and implemented. An investor in an onshore wind farm in western
Maine, King said the greatest and most reliable source of wind energy
is in deep water, some 25 miles offshore. Although the technology for
harnessing that wind energy has yet to be developed outside of Europe,
it better be soon, he warned.
“This is a catastrophe,” he said.
“This isn’t business as usual. This isn’t some minor little problem.
This isn’t do not pass school buses or what’s the speed limit on the
Interstate. This is a disaster in the state of Maine that’s coming at
us.”
King first sounded the alarm about energy costs
undermining the social and economic fabric of Maine during a speech in
April at Bowdoin College titled “The Saudi Arabia of Wind: Confronting
Maine’s Energy Catastrophe.”
In that speech, and in his address
last week at The Power of the Gulf seminar sponsored by the University
of Maine Law School and the Gulf of Maine Research Institute, King
noted that no state is more dependent on oil than is Maine.
“Eighty
percent of homes in Maine are heated with oil,” he said. “The national
average is 9 percent. If you do the math, 87 percent of the total
energy bill of the average Maine person is dependent on oil or natural
gas, and that is a particularly serious problem.”
King notes
that oil prices have more than tripled in the last 10 years. Only six
months ago, he said, the price of oil was $75 a barrel. Last week it
was $114.
“A non-hysterical prediction is that, by 2020, oil
will be $300 a barrel, which means $10 a gallon for gasoline, which
means $10 a gallon fuel oil. It means filling up the tank in your car
will be $200, with incomes not that different. It means $2,000 to fill
the oil tank in the basement.
“Here’s the catastrophe part,” he
said at Bowdoin College. “In 1998, energy — all energy: cars, home
heating and electricity — was 4 percent of the average Maine family’s
budget. Today it’s 20 percent. It went from 4 percent to 20 percent in
10 years. That’s pain.”
Should oil hit $300 a barrel, King
said, that percentage would increase from 20 percent to as much as 50
percent of the average family budget.

Former Maine Governor Angus King
“We
go from pain to lethal,” he said. “We simply can’t survive that. This
state and this country are not viable at that level of energy costs. If
this happens, it’s all over. We won’t have an election for governor in
2020; we’ll have an election for chief park ranger, because that’s all
this state will be, a large park of some kind that is largely
uninhabitable.
“Fifty percent of your budget for energy and 20
percent for health care leaves 30 percent for everything else:
mortgage, rent, food. It’s just absolutely unsustainable.”
King predicted in Northport that $300 oil would see families pulling up stakes and dramatically changing how they live.
“The
old thing we heard was people choosing between medicine and food,” he
said. “People are going to be choosing between heat and food. People
are going to be living together. People are going to be moving in to
have five or 10 people in an apartment to deal with this problem.
“This is a really urgent problem, and I don’t think the world has come to grips with how serious.”
Doing nothing is not an option, King said. That’s what created what he sees as an unsustainable status quo.
“Every
president since Nixon has been talking about energy independence — all
of my adult life — and we haven’t done a damn thing about it,” he said.
“Nothing. We are just as dependent on oil today — and particularly
foreign oil — as we were in 1970.”
King realizes he’s hardly painting a rose-colored scenario. He’s not being a pessimist, he feels, as much as a realist.
“I hope I have sufficiently depressed you,” he said at Bowdoin College. “This is serious stuff.”